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October 2006

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83. T.J. Duckett

8/22/06

Well, my Steelers didn't get him and this on the back of rumors over Staley's release.

What will happen now, eh?

Portis will be relegated to between the numbers carries and Duckett will become the touchdown back. We'll see how he does in the first few games that Portis might be out, but, this makes him even more valuable then being in Atlanta.

Betts is good, but not great, and Cartwright will always get a few, but, with Duckett, Washington adds a fearsome element to their attack.

Rumors are flying that Norwood is something special and that he has made Duckett expendable. If this is true and Duckett stays with Atlanta, then it's sure that his touchdown totals will be off as Norwood gets his.

At 6' and 254 he is a Bettis clone (5'11" 255). Pittsburgh likes the size and views him as a perfect compliment to Willie Parker and Verron Haynes.

If Duckett is traded to Pittsburgh then his value will go up.

He's too large to be an every down back (maybe), but, anyone will be fearful if he's barreling down on you from behind the stout Pittsburgh line. There's no zone/cut blocking in Pittsburgh, just pure and simple power running, ram it down your throat style.

The Zone scheme fully in place in Atlanta doesn't really suit his skills. With the #1 rushing attack last year, Atlanta uses Vick as their primary back and Dunn as a yardage back/receiver. Duckett has been valuable as a goal line pounder, but, if Norwood is good enough in the scheme to take over, he could relegate even Dunn to a change of pace back.

This will not happen this year, but, I think it is the plan.

Atlanta has an improved defense and would be wise to keep Duckett and use him as they have been. Without him they will be a poorer team.

He wont give you yards, but, he is a load coming at ya!

July 26, 2006 in WASHINGTON | Permalink | Comments (0)

76. Mark Brunell

Even an old Cougar, like myself, must tip his hat to a worthy warrior. Brunell and Bledsoe seem to still be rivals in how long they can keep their battered bodies on the field and play at starting quarterback levels. Jacksonville has to be wondering where they would be, had they kept Brunell and replaced the O-line to protect him instead.

Both quarterbacks are still rivals, going from one of the most fierce in college to one of the most fierce in the N.F.L. One has to wonder if they are friends that sit down over Martinis in Washington and Mint Juleps in Dallas, or a beer at home.

Brunell is old, bruised, experienced and savvy. Gibbs is a great coach and Snyder has been dumping money into talent for years. The division is going to be a brawl and the rest of the schedule affords little relief.

Portis will establish respect for the running game and a cadre of fleet receivers will keep the blitzes off him. Brunell needs to just sit back in the pocket and do what he loves to do.

I give him the edge over Bledsoe in how far his team will go, but, T.O. gives Bledsoe the greater opportunity for fantasy scores.

Brunell will be an adequate quarterback, and every now and then, will give you the big game; but, he is also a strong candidate for injury and the back-ups are shaky.

Nothing special here, a solid late round pick or second quarterback for your fantasy team.

July 25, 2006 in WASHINGTON | Permalink | Comments (0)

56. Santana Moss

Santana Moss is on my cannon fodder list.

In '05, 4th with 85 total: 1,17,Bye,1,2,17,8,0,1,1,1,7,1,1,1,25,1

If you analyze his scoring it came in bunches and if you take away three games he didn't help his fantasy owner very much. Three games does not make a fantasy season.

Now that would be OK if you plugged him in and needed a victory, but, someone will draft him in the second or third round and he's definitely not worth that. I put him even this high because of his home-run ability.

Defenses became aware of him quickly and game planned accordingly. They certainly respected his speed, but he was too easy to take out and didn't overcome. Steve Smith is game planned for, too.

Washington will have a great season and Portis will run all over the place. Moss will have opportunities to do what he did last year. In a three-receiver-starting fantasy league, he's worth playing until he proves that the added receiver depth is diluting his chances at scoring, too much.

He's fast and runs good routes. He is a good player, but, at this point, Washington has many players.

Santana Moss will not be on any of my teams, but, gets the respect of placement for what he accomplished in total last year.

July 23, 2006 in WASHINGTON | Permalink | Comments (0)

4. Clinton Portis

8/22/06

Wow, where do you draft Portis now?

Duckett will be the goal line back, and may even unseat Portis!

If Portis sits out the first game Duckett will be given a chance and it may be all he needs to begin a new legacy.

Shoulder injuries are very serious for a running back and Portis who has already been downgraded to twelfth will fall even further with this development. More later.

I believe that Portis has the best chance to crack the top three by the end of the season.

Washington has a very strong division and will be fighting to the last game, just like last year.

Gibbs is a great coach. He has more then competent assistants. Greg Williams is getting head coaches money or he would already be one and Al Saunders helped craft on of the most spectacular offenses in the recent history of the N.F.L. You cannot underestimate quality coaching when prognosticating a performer's ability to succeed.

Saunders guided Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson to rushing records in Kansas City.

Portis looks great and has a great attitude. He seems very comfortable with where he's at.

Gibbs loves grinding it out, (remember Riggins) and understands that controlling the clock wins football games. A great rushing attack sets up every other aspect of football success.

Snyder's free spending has collected a talented group and with a couple years to figure out the nuances of the current N.F.L. a two sport champion like Gibbs is exactly what he needed.

(To read only about Portis, skip down to the next brackets.)

The first three picks were the 'no-brainer's'. Every pundit, analyst, prognosticator, magazine, website etc. can get those three and the order is largely arbitrary.

But, here is where it begins. Most of the rest will regurgitate and repackage everyone else's 'common knowledge'. Most of the fantasy analysis is based in the N.F.L. past.

And, this is precisely where we will begin to diverge. Fantasy Football is a game itself. It mimics, utilizes, reconfigures the actual game and creates something new, and, actively accessible to everyone.

Only a few of us are physically gifted enough to actually make it in the N.F.L. Of those injury, character, circumstance and lack of a champion's desire derails most of these. The very few who can play at an elite level and sustain this for multiple years are fortunate beyond the wildest dreams of the majority of the world's population.

these champions have honors and opportunities that are not part of the lives of the vast majority of the population that created and sustains them.

The N.F.L., and all professional sports, would be wise to remember the average man that sustains their existence.

Currently baseball wants to reign in the wild west of fantasy sports and tithe its fabric and every facet of its essence. the level of greed exhibited is simply sad.

Fantasy sports are just that, a creation of the fans to participate in society and the sport they love; to fulfill the need to be a part of the cultural traditions of their lives.

Grade school, high school and college are not just farm systems for the pros, but, the very backbone of our society and a necessary outlet for the essence of the marriage between ideals, and the physicality that is man.

Fantasy sports sustain and further the growth of the fan base of sports and to choke it off into specific channels that are mere feeding tubes of cash directed to the upper echelon of the business side of sports is obscene and will destroy the loose appeal and creative nature of our sport.

The public pays for stadiums, the legislature allows exclusivity and financial titans benefit from tithing every aspect of the game, extorting cities in hostage while their investment simply accrues in value. The ridiculously high prices for everything involved with sport is seen as justified by limited supply and maximum demand, and, since it is discretionary and not need spending. Instead of glorying in an expanding client base that they don't have to spend a penny advertising for, they now seek to wring it dry and allow only the elite of society to reap the rewards of enjoyment.

More on this later; for now, I'll simply say that i intend to bring thorough research and a creative, imaginative element to prognostication.

In studying the fantasy game stats, and giving them more weight then actual N.F.L. stats, more can be learned that pertains to the F.F. game.

This is what really matters to fantasy success. Too often the pundits are caught up in their N.F.L. knowledge and N.F.L. stats and fail to see that the world of fantasy sports has its own relevance to itself, its own playing field philosophically separate from the unreal world of ubermensch.

In 'reality' the world of fantasy sport is reality for its followers, much more real then that of the players, which is a world the vast majority of us will never be a part of.

(Portis continued.)

Washington has built one of the top five offensive lines in the league. They have numerous blocking tight ends and great depth. They don't have a listed fullback, but their tight ends are often listed as halfbacks and do a great job of it.

There are certain criteria to a fantasy running back's success: great coaching, solid o-line, and a playoff caliber offense. It also helps if the team has a competent quarterback with a good, but, not consistently game-breaking receivers.

Washington has all of this.

Santana Moss is not an elite receiver. He's too small and, though fast, is easily game planned as evidenced by how easily he was taken out of the equation last year after strutting his stuff against a couple teams. His infrequent outbursts were game-breakers in both the N.F.L. and fantasy, but, his week to week numbers were terrible.

Give me the steady performer over the erratic spectacular any day. Clinton Portis has evolved into exactly that.

Washington will go to the playoffs and Portis will lead the way. He has a great backup who can competently fill the role, but, not spectacular or well known enough to be on any other owner's bench. He'll be available if Portis goes down.

I think he'll be fine.

His great year in Denver and spectacular trade to Washington left him in need of adjustment. He needed to relearn how to run. He needed to rethink his attitude to the game.

Denver's o-line attack was unique and different from the one he was traded to. It took time, but, Portis has responded in a big way.

Gibbs has brought the stability and champion's respect; direction and purpose to a bedraggled corp of mercenaries. He has formed them into a unit, a team with drive, focus and purpose.

Clinton's dressing up antics have been embraced by all and allowed him in his own way to find acceptance.

He will have a season for the ages.

In '04 he was feeling things out and learning his role. In '05 he finished #6 and two touchdowns and over 100 yards in week 17.

This year everything is in place for a spectacular run. He may not match the fantasy output of the top three, but, he is the safest pick to stand above the rest; and, if he ends up #2 or #3 I won't be surprised.

Washington's schedule isn't a cakewalk, but, has its reliefs. The conference is difficult and it will be hard to contain the "Tuna's" run at a championship and stay ahead of the surging Giants, while keeping the Eagles at bay, but, a division championship is within reach; for this team can enter the crucible and meet its challenges eye to eye and toe to toe.

Last year, John Clayton said that Clinton was soft from a lazy off-season and probably the best candidate for injury. As elite back after back went down he steadily improved all year long. This year he's cut and fired up, Huyea!

July 15, 2006 in WASHINGTON | Permalink | Comments (0)

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