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October 2006

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Utility Players, Bottom Fourth & Sixth Page

1. Verron Haynes RB - Pit.

2. Jerome Harrison (R) RB - Cle.

3. Najeh Davenport RB - G.B.

4. Jerrious Norwood (R) RB - Atl.

5. Mike Alstott RB - T.B.

6. Maurice Hicks RB - S.F.

7. Wali Lundy (R) RB - Hou.

8. Ron Dayne RB - Den.

9. Cedric Cobbs RB - Den.

10. Greg Jones RB - Jac.

11. Correll Buckhalter RB - Phi.

12. Amani Toomer WR - N.Y.G.

13. Marty Booker WR - Mia.

14. Donte Stallworth WR - N.O.

15. Cedrick Wilson WR - Pit.

16. Michael Clayton WR - T.B.

17. Ashley Lelie WR - Atl.

18. Eric Moulds WR - Hou.

19. Vincent Jackson (R) WR - S.D.

20. Roddy White WR - Atl.

21. Robert Ferguson WR - G.B.

22. Travis Taylor WR - Min.

23. Marcus Robinson WR - Min.

24. Josh Reed WR - Buf.

25. Darius Watts WR - Den.

26. Brandon Stokely WR - Ind.

27. Antwaan Randle El WR - Wa.

28. Patrick Crayton WR - Wa.

29. Alvis Whitted WR - Oak.

30. Bernard Berrian WR - Chi.

31. Kevan Barlow RB - N.Y.J.

32. Derrick Blaylock RB - N.Y.J.

33. Mewelde Moore RB - Min.

34. Michael Pittman RB - T.B.

35. Samkon Gado RB - G.B.

36. Brian Calhoun (R) RB - Det.

37. Ladell Betts RB - WA.

38. Justin Fargas RB - Oak

39. James Mungro RB - Ind.

40. Mike Anderson RB - Bal.

41. Sammy Morris RB - Mia.

42. Reche Caldwell WR - N.E.

43. David Givens WR - Ten.

44. Greg Jennings (R) WR - G.B.

45. Greg Lewis WR - Phi.

46. Sinorice Moss (R) WR - N.Y.G.

47. Devard Darling WR - Bal.

48. Dennis Northcutt WR - Cle.

49. Jerricho Crotchery (R) WR - N.Y.J.

50. Bryant Johnson WR - Ari.

51. Arnaz Battle WR - S.F.

52. Santonio Holmes (R) WR - Pit.

53. Shaun McDonald WR - St. L.

54. Keary Colbert WR - Car.

55. Dante Hall WR - K.C.

56. Tyronne Calico WR - Ten.

57. Ciatrick Fason RB - Min.

58. Maurice Jones - Drew (R) RB - Jac.

59. Kevin Faulk RB - N.E.

60. Anthony Thomas RB - Buf.

August 22, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

Offensive Lines, Eighth Page

Possibly the most important ranking. All choices should be made with these rankings in mind.

1. Kansas City: with Roaf out they need to prove they still are the best

2. Seattle: Walter Jones

3. Denver: all five return, zone/cut blocking hall-of-fame unit

4. Cincinnati: all five return, supplemented by a good tight end

5. New England: great depth

6. Minnesota: greatly improved, they need to gel

7. Indianapolis: all five return, need to improve run blocking but keep Manning safe

8. St. Louis: Orlando Pace and excellent continuity

9. Pittsburgh: all five return, as well as the most cerebral center, blue collar work ethic

10. Philadelphia: one season removed from a Superbowl

11. San Diego: solid

12. Washington: efficient ball control, lots of tight ends

13. N.Y. Giants: good young players, solid middle

14. Carolina: talented and upwardly mobile

15. Jacksonville: solid

16. Green Bay: lost guards two years ago, center last year, young and strong learning zone blocking

17. Atlanta: zone/cut blocking specialists

18. Dallas: left side weak

19. Baltimore: some old, some young need to bridge the gap

20. Tennessee: Kevin Mawae but questionable depth

21. Oakland: old guards but Shell a former lineman in control

22. Tampa Bay: in flux will be better if rookies can perform

23. Chicago: return all five

24. New Orleans: underachievers with a lack of depth

25. Miami: lack of chemistry, talent and depth

26. Detroit: may outperform this ranking

27. Cleveland: losses mount

28. N.Y. Jets: hm

29. Arizona: underachievers and rookies

30. San Fransisco: inexperienced

31. Houston: improving team, but...

32. Buffalo: revamped, but, low talent

August 22, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

Team Rankings, Seventh Page

In the back-side centerfold I have facing, A,B,C,D, team and O-line rankings. Conveniently placed so I can refer to them on almost every choice I make.

Teams get higher rankings for the amount of top fantasy players they field. 

Teams in each category are in random order, as the idea is the category not the individual rankings.

A.

Denver, San Diego, Kansas City, Indianapolis, Carolina, Seattle, New England, N.Y. Giants, Dallas, Cincinnati, St. Louis

B.

Arizona, Chicago, Washington, Atlanta, Jacksonville, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Miami, Detroit

C.

Oakland, Philadelphia, Tennessee, Minnesota, Green Bay, New Orleans

D.

San Fransisco, Houston, N.Y. Jets, Cleveland, Buffalo

Honestly, you should avoid the D category players until the last few rounds. There will be weeks when they don't score at all.

August 22, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

20 Tight Ends, Top Page Four

let someone else draft Gates and Gonzales. They are always a risk to score no more then six as they also need to block.

Many tight ends will score in a mediocre way so who really cares. You can pick up a new one each week all season. This is the most inconsequential, wild card spot on the fantasy roster. It's fun for its unpredictability.

Ignore it and address the position late after you have a solid team.

1. Antonio Gates:                  redefining the position, that's what Hall-Of-Famers do

2. Jeremy Shockey:             injury concerns, but will come back and still score

3. Alge Crumpler:                  could easily be #1

4. Todd Heap:                       injury concern, but, McNair gives everyone legitimacy

5. Jason Witten:                   covering T. O., oops, where's the tight end?

6. Tony Gonzales:                will have to block too much, again

7. Chris Cooley:                   now that he's a legitimate tight end, watch out

8. Vernon Davis:                  could he be the savior? can Armageddon be far behind?

9. Dallas Clark:                    lucked into the perfect job

10. Randy McMichael:         should be higher

11. Heath Miller:                  without a legitimate running stud he could be very valuable

12. Jerramy Stevens:           can he overcome the psychological stresses of the Superbowl

13. L.J. Smith:                    another reason why you don't need to draft a T.E. early

14. Ben Troupe:                  solid player

15. Desmond Clark:            this team will rock

16. Bubba Franks:              "I'll be back." stomp, stomp, stomp, stomp (heavy drum beats)

17. Benjamin Watson:        too many tight ends dilutes his value, or, does it

18. Courtney Anderson:      sleeper tight end

19. Kellen Winslow:           after everything he still has a mouth, humble not in his vocabulary

20. Daniel Graham:            always worth a roster spot

And, there are so many more.

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

18 Kickers, Bottom Fifth Page

The last four Amelia Vega Bowl champions have all had Jason Elam as their kicker. What does that tell you.

Having the top kicker gives you a distinct point advantage over the other teams. More importantly then the draft is the first few weeks after when the right situation develops in the crucible of play that creates the perfect conditions for a top fantasy kicker.

With 32 starting kickers and, possibly, ten to sixteen owners in your draft it is vital to wait before you draft one.

Let someone else start the run and then either take an opportunity on a good one or wait 'till the end to simply grab one. The greatest turnover at the top of the fantasy football scoring, year to year, is kickers.

Drafting one early simply costs you a better position player. If you are at the end of the draft and lost as to who to take, well, then grab the best kicker if you're the first to choose.

1. Jay Feely:                     no brainer, awesome 40 - 50 yard stats, tough schedule, good team

2. Shayne Graham:           good kicker, tougher schedule, quarterback health questions

3. Adam Vinatieri:             put the best kicker on the most prolific offense, subtract the stud back

4. Neil Rackers:                earned this placement last year

5. Jason Elam:                 mile high air, prolific run oriented offense

6. Ryan Longwell:             one of the greatest moves to a dome, moderate schedule, learning, talented offense

7. Lawrence Tynes:           prolific, run oriented offense

8. John Kasay:                 awesome offense. run oriented and going places

9. Josh Brown:                 great offense challenged with a tougher schedule

10. Matt Stover:               Baltimore's back, baby

11. Mike Vanderjagt:        idiot kicker meets spoiled brat and his doppelganger

12. Jeff Wilkins:               Superbowl offense has a resurgence, slight injury risk

13. David Akers:              talented team lacks stud play-makers

14. Jeff Reed:                  champion's schedule with everyone gunning for them

15. Nate Kaeding:            this team will surprise a lot of people who only look at last year

16. Kris Brown:               hey, at sixteen it's anyone's guess

17. Rob Bironas:             this team will score one way or another

18. Stephen Gostkowski  he wins the job then proves he can keep it

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

18 Defenses, Top Fifth Page

There are certain things that are important in choosing defenses.

First is their stats for sacks and turnovers from the year before. # of T.D.s can give you a read, but, are often based on luck and circumstances.

Second is their fantasy points from your league's scoring. Tabulate the last four years and look at the trends. Once defenses reach the top they can continue there or make a comeback based on off-season moves and schedule.

Third is their off-season moves and schedule. An easy schedule helps, a difficult one hurts.

An awesome rookie can change the momentum of a whole team. A respected vet can help, but a collection of free agents is needed for change as the game changing player is locked up and almost never released in his prime.

1. Chicago:                        they are on top right now, the loss of Brown is disturbing

2. Carolina:                        the best defense and the only other one I would consider early

3.  N.Y. Giants:                 a seriously dangerous team this year

4. Seattle                          one stud can make the difference for going to a Superbowl and winning a national championship

5. Pittsburgh:                    too many solid players, good coaching, and a great system

6. Baltimore:                     a resurgent year, because of a good offense

7. Miami:                          you can't argue with their consistent points and superior coaching

8. Indianapolis:                  Dungy has only one job to do and frequent draft picks pay off

9. Jacksonville:                 Del Rio is a John Fox clone

10. Atlanta:                       mercurial team due for a special year

11. Tampa Bay:                so what if they are old, so is Monte Kiffin, they know how to score

12. Washington:               Gibbs knows how to coach and how to delegate, he's a champion

13. New England:             watch Bruschi's health, but, Belichick is still a genius, moderate schedule

14. San Diego:                 Merriman's Merry Men, they practice against Tomlinson and Gates

15. Philadelphia:              comeback year, with a vengeance

16. Cincinnati:                 offense solid, draft picks have improved this squad, Lewis demanded it

17. Kansas City:             always a wild card unit, Ty Law legitimizes them

18. Dallas:                      Parcells

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

25 Running Backs Bottom Third Page

If your sitting on three running backs from your first 30, then you are doing really well. If not it should be a strong pull to get a third before they're gone. A fourth doesn't hurt either.

19. Deshaun Foster:                   if he stays healthy...

20. Chris Brown:                        if he gets his head together...

21. Reuben Droughns:                maybe more touchdowns this year

22. Willis McGahee:                   maybe this year

23. Dominick Rhodes:                could perform much higher then this ranking, worried about Mungro

24. Frank Gore:                         working hard to prove he's the man

25. Deuce McAlister:                 still a stud, not yet for the youngster

26. Julius Jones:                       injury concern, confidence concern, Barber

27. Willie Parker:                      could be the T.D. threat for the team

28. T.J. Duckett:                       is the T.D. threat, maybe a Steeler on opening day

29. Fred Taylor:                        injury concern, if healthy will perform much higher than this

30. Laurence Maroney:             exciting runner and the future in New England

31. DeAngelo Williams:             DeShaun will amaze if he makes it half way through

32. Joseph Addai:                     could he step up in an awesome offense

33. Reggie Bush:                      struggling team, difficult schedule, Deuce

34. Vernand Morency:               hasn't won the job yet, but, Davis is done and he's the man

35. Cedric Houston:                  He will earn the job and be a N.F.L. starter

36. Cedric Benson:                   another injury, still not ready to lead

37. Marion Barber:                    T.D. back in Dallas

38. Mike Bell:                           could he win the job, does run well

39. Brendan Jacobs:                 improving T.D. specialist for a good team

40. LenDale White:                   worth a flier

41. Samkon Gado:                   maybe a mistake to not have Green, Davenport or Herron on this list

42. Jerome Harrison:                Coug pick, he's electric and motivated to prove he belongs

43. Michael Turner:                  awesome runner and if Tomlinson goes down...

You don't want to rely on the waiver wire for running backs so draft them early and often.

In a keeper league last year, I was forced to chose after thirty were gone. I had six running backs in the first eight picks and won.

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

18 Quarterbacks, Upper Third Page

When you open the first flap the facing page will have 18 quarterbacks and 25+ running backs. The under page has the receivers, but, if you only have two or three from the front page's top 30 then good strategy has three running backs and a quarterback.

It's important to remember that the best available player strategy is always in play.

With this set-up it's easy to open up into the next level of players after the top 30 are gone.

2. Jake Delhomme:              safest pick, awesome offense, mediocre schedule consistent top fantasy performer

3. Drew Bledsoe:                 hard to ignore T.O. and T.G.

4. Tom Brady:                     another safe pick, could let down with better running game

5. Eli Manning:                    improving player on top scoring offense

6.  Donovan McNabb:          he is the fantasy scoring for his team and has a chip this year

7. Carson Palmer:               watch the injury, but, will be strong in second half

8. Mark Bulger:                   prolific offense should have bounce back year

9. Matt Hasselbeck:            contract for Alexander means more passing emphasis

10. Daunte Culpepper:         Saban, Chambers, Brown 'nuff said'

11. Kurt Warner:                 too many weapons to ignore, draft a back-up

12. Steve McNair:               something to prove, he's a champion

13. Michael Vick:               always manages to be in the upper fantasy scorers

14. Brett Favre:                  interceptions? so what! T.D.s gauranteed

15. Chris Simms:               rising star on a good, balanced offense

16. Brad Johnson:              a stud with a great cast; fragile, though

17. Billy Volek:                  gamble, but, great synergy with Bennett, don't count out Fisher

18. Mark Brunell:               good team, lots of weapons

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

40 Receivers, Second Page

On the first, inside flap is a list of receivers. Following the three running backs/one quarterback start; the main receivers are taken and it's time to take a chance on starters that will out-perform expectations.

12. Roy Williams             may be an unquestioned elite next year

13. Donald Driver             Favre is still Favre, mediocre schedule helps

14. Joe Horn                   a stud, only reliable lock on the team, very difficult schedule

15. Santana Moss           will perform huge then disappear, chart opposing defenses secondaries

16. Koren Robinson         focused, mediocre schedule, Brad Johnson

17. Ernest Wilford            third year, hard working stud

18. Joey Galloway           still fast, one more great year in the tank

19. Muhsin Muhammad    easy schedule, great team, #1, assimilated

20. Nate Burleson            great offense, emerging talent, some injury concerns

21. Darrell Jackson         great offense, will he drop the ball

22. Joe Jurevicius           stud, bad team, good coach, point of scoring

23. T.J. Houshmandzadeh great offense, lots of scoring

24. Drew Bennett           Volek loves him, must stay healthy

25. Plaxico Burress        health a concern, emerging great offense

26. Corey Bradford         quality player on emerging offense

27. Reggie Brown          McNabb is the fantasy focus, but...

28. Reggie Wayne         very talented and a very good team

29. Eddie Kinneson        focus on run-clock control could benefit his T.D.s

30. Keenan McCardell    stud on an excellent offense

31. Terry Glenn              Parcells insecure on running game

32. Brandon Lloyd          could perform like a #1, very happy

33. Andre Johnson         Moulds is a possession receiver, will help

34. Antonio Bryant         #1 might grab the reigns and surprise

35. Matt Jones               sexy pick, awesome athlete

36. Michael Jenkins        either him or Roddy White

37. Mark Clayton            it's his time to step up

38. Doug Gabriel            Porter gone? this guys for real

38. Quincy Morgan         finally, his chance to prove

39. Chad Jackson           uncertain team situation makes him valuable

40. Kevin Curtis              prolific offense, Bruce is a great possession receiver

41. Chris Henry              prolific offense, will get his and contribute

42. Derrick Mason          reunited with McNair, injury concerns

43. Troy Williamson        will be awesome this year

44. Ashley Lelie             where-ever he lands, they will need him

45. Jerry Porter              big risk, average reward

46. Deion Branch           Brady spreads it around too much

47. Lee Evans                Could put up Santana Moss type numbers; streaky but huge

48. Samie Parker           very prolific offense

49. Kelly Campbell         Culpepper knows him well

50. David Boston            reviving an awesome potential

51. Hank Baskett           Story of the year

By taking receivers late, you're accepting that this will be your biggest concern in waiver wire battles. As receivers are streaky scorers, and there are so many, this is a good strategy. Choosing winners in later rounds is key to making the playoffs.

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

Top 30, Draft Sheet's First Page

DRAFT NOTES will be a personalized draft sheet analysis. Rankings will be chosen based on the rules of the site. All information provided is for study purposes as all owners need to decide for themselves who they like and dislike.

My draft sheet is 8x16 and folded in half. Each side is now folded down like wings.

The facing outside flap holds the top 30. It opens to reveal two pages and the center fold. The center fold can now be folded over to reveal two more pages.

8/14 TOP 30:

1. Larry Johnson:                gamble on greatness

2. Shaun Alexander:           safest pick

3. LaDainian Tomlinson:     last of the givens

4. Stephen Jackson:           good team, mediocre schedule, run oriented offense, experienced

5. Rudi Johnson:                 great offense, great attitude

6. Carnell Williams:             improving team, stable, destined

7. Lamont Jordan:               team needs to gel, settle down

8. Tiki Barber:                     aging, Jacobs will get goal line carries

9. Corey Dillon:                   in great shape, motivated, rookie will spell between the numbers

10. Edgerrin James:            bad team with too much talent, caution: bad O-line

11. Terrell Owens:               redemption year, too much talent to ignore

12. Steve Smith:                 watch hamstring, too much pride for let down

13. Jamal Lewis:                 'Air McNair', Anderson fullbacks, one more great year

14. Marvin Harrison:             automatic, with running questions the pass rules in Indy

15. Ronnie Brown:               mediocre schedule, surrounded by talent, Saban rules

16. Tatum Bell:                   svelte, muscular and motivated, great gamble on legendary run attack

17. Torry Holt:                     steady production, solid team, mediocre schedule

18. Larry Fitzgerald:            emerging superstar, Warner's fragility, previously bad team, Boldin and James will score

19. Thomas Jones:             great shape, great team, easy schedule, experience can't be ignored

20. Kevin Jones:                 mediocre schedule, emerging team, ready to perform

21. Chris Chambers:           great talent, Culpepper, 2nd year back

22. Clinton Portis:               even with injury can no longer ignore talent, second half player

23. Peyton Manning:           no more Edge to promote will 'let loose the doge of war'

24. Javon Walker:               seems healthy, will perform higher then this ranking

25. Chester Taylor:             watched Richardson score in pre-season

26. Randy Moss:                offense confused, egos competing, still, his year to shine

27. Chad Johnson:              pundits darling will score middle of the road. 9 T.D.s doesn't deserve higher

28. Hines Ward:                 always forgotten, always performs, w/o Bettis he is the scoring focal point

29. Anquan Boldin:             smaller, prone to injury, could easily outperform this ranking

30. Brian Westbrook:          if healthy all year will rival Tiki Barber

It's important to remember that you will be able to draft only two or three of these players within the snake. Others will observe pundit rankings, which are uninspired collusions, this ranking is an educated opinion and you should make your own decisions based on your own research. 

August 15, 2006 in DRAFT NOTES | Permalink | Comments (0)

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