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October 2006

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Week Three Update

The greatest defense, especially with the easiest schedule (and even some of the projected tough guys have gotten easier).

Get Grossman now. The running game will be competent but not spectacular and Grossman has so much to prove.

Keep an eye on Desmond Clark.

Grab Bernard Berrian now.

Trade Thomas Jones for Larry Fitzgerald.

Muhsin Muhammad should come around and soon!

Remember that most of the highest scoring fantasy players come from playoff teams.

September 19, 2006 in CHICAGO | Permalink | Comments (0)

63. Cedric Benson

7/28: the longer Jones keeps a bad attitude and pulls the mysterious injury antics the more he looks like a downgrade and Benson's stock will rise. Chicago is in a serious Superbowl run so they will not trade Jones. And, ultimately, Jones is the better back.

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I am in firm belief that Thomas Jones has not only earned the #1 spot in the Bears backfield, but, he will if knocked back; by some very ill-timed money grousing, earn it again.

You just can't bench the kind of talent he's developed into.

Chicago is on a Superbowl run and the stars are so right that I've predicted them to be there.

Benson will not be hurt to wait, and learn, and grow stronger.

It worked for Larry Johnson.

He will see playing time and will score a few touchdowns. But, there are too many questions as to Jones ability and his inexperience.

A team looking at a cupcake schedule, and a #1 defense, and a now thoroughly backed up offense is not going to let a little pay griping get in the way of their march to a playoff bye.

Jones realizes that his payoff will come from showing once again that last year wasn't a fluke and that he's the real deal.

Benson, well, so far he hasn't shown the fire he should have for his draft status and windfall payday.

I don't buy the argument that a team must play a guy just because they paid him. I think the smart teams will do what it takes to win; and Lovie Smith is very smart.

Remember, Chris Perry was to take over for Rudi Johnson, and, he's still waiting and getting paid.

Rookies should not have these escalating paychecks that make hard working veterans look like a joke.

They should be capped and given bonuses based on performance. I'm sure that would have saved San Diego a lot of money a few years ago. But, then, where would Coach Price have been able to hide from his own scandals if not for the awesome, unearned paycheck his former quarterback received.

Benson is here, and many will have him higher. That qualifies him as a cannon fodder player, but, one I would draft, in later rounds, on the chance he takes over.

Many will argue that he will and if that's true he'll be a steal for whoever drafts him.

I'm betting that wont happen this year; it's too important to the team to mess with success.

July 24, 2006 in CHICAGO | Permalink | Comments (0)

51. Muhsin Muhammad

In '04, 118: 7,0,Bye,2,0,6,0,14,1,22,141,9,7,8,14,13

You can see where Smith went down with the broken leg.

Then, with a fat contract and a new team;

In '05, 47th - 196th overall: 1,7,1,Bye,1,0,0,6,1,0,6,0,0,1,0,7,out

Hmm. This was an obvious call. Grossman was basically a rookie after his previous injury and going down, snake-bit again, left Muhammad in a tough situation. It didn't seem like he stepped up. The team did.

It's hard to tell really. The defense played so spectacularly that he was unseen on the field. He certainly performed when the situation was right and the heat, without Smith, was on; but, here he didn't rise up and distinguish himself.

In '03 he was 61st and a virtually worthless three touchdowns; which was all he had at 57th in '02.

At 6' 2" and 215 he has good size. In ten years he has been largely a possession receiver and his numbers have never been anything like his one, 16 touchdown season. But then, few receivers ever have a 16 touchdown season.

He did have some decent 1000+ yard seasons in '99 and '00, which showed the promise that wasn't realized for four more years. Most people picked him up off the waiver wire; we had a large league, and he was sitting on a lazier owner's bench, when he started going off.

Chicago is set up for a fantastic year. Plenty of older receivers have been putting great seasons together recently and the modern fitness regimens, diet information, and strength conditioning available today is extending careers.

With everything in place, Muhammad has every opportunity for an awesome season this year. That's why he's here.

More importantly, however, is the fact that if you follow the runningback and quarterback first theory then you're going to need late receivers that produce. Great receivers always come out of nowhere, every year, and identifying them in the bottom of the draft makes it easier then trying to grab one off the wire.

How many late draft picks do you just throw away every year? How many early ones?

Possibly the #1 defense, weak division, easy schedule, decent O-line, competing - competent backs, a great backup quarterback itching for an opportunity, rising fellow receivers, retirement just a few years away, and the best chance for another Superbowl visit and victory; the holy grail of Football. The responsibility, and, glory of being the #1 receiver on a legendary team.

I want to believe in him, and, if he believes in himself then well both be hoisting trophies in January.

July 22, 2006 in CHICAGO | Permalink | Comments (0)

14. Thomas Jones

7/28: If his current attitude persists then downgrade Jones. Mysterious injuries are the mark of a stupid player. He worked hard to build himself to the point where he could have a good season and is squandering all of that work by being petulant.

If he would have just continued with a good attitude and looked at the bigger (Superbowl) picture, then he probably already would have been rewarded. This smells like an agent induced ploy; and that stinks!

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When asked by the fantasy football index, I chose Chicago to represent the N.F.C. in the Superbowl.

They are blessed, and the first blessing was the hiring of Lovie Smith.

A complete set of returning starters, an easy ride through the season, a dominating defense, a strengthened and emerging offense, a division championship, a probable first round playoff bye, and an air of destiny wafting through the hallowed halls of Ditka's former home.

And, then there is the reality of personalities.

It's hard as a fan to reconcile what appears to be a foolish move. We think of the team and the glory of victory.

The player thinks of his career, his liabilities and his dwindling, and at risk, assets.

When Thomas Jones sat out workouts and voluntary mini-camps, my heart sank.

Jones had a great year in '05 and with a great o-line and an easy schedule he seemed a lock for a great year.

He's strong and healthy, has honed his craft hoping for years to get a big break. I'm starting to feel, that, like the rings of a tree, good football players can evolve with the layers of muscle gained through the hard work of early years in the league.

Drafted out of college, many players are still developing into the men they will become. Jones needed a few years to build his body and talents. He bided his time behind other backs for years until finally getting his chance to shine.

It's almost as if the stars aligned for him and, even though Cedric Benson was drafted to be the lead, Jones stepped from behind the curtains and stole the marquee.

His holdout for a new, and probably deserved, contract was ill timed and ill conceived.

I guess the frustration, the waiting for a break, the long days of anxiety got the best of him.

Unless you are a football god, demanding a contract never works.

Causing problems, right when your team is looking on a magical season, is wrong. No one likes to be held hostage or extorted. A team player recognizes when his team needs him the most and is there for his mates.

It can be argued that he also needs to take advantage of the best leverage for his future. That he needs to get all he can, when he can.

Yet, if Jones quietly, unselfishly helps his team to a great season, let alone to a championship; if he develops into a great player and an invaluable asset to his team, then he will be rewarded.

Oh yea, that sounds like the Rudi Johnson story.

And, it could still happen.

The two holdouts will be there at camp.

The Bears have been rewarding contracts all over the team and have been one of the first teams to sign all their draft picks.

Jones needs to work hard and be humble. If he can do this he will have the starting job on opening day instead of the still developing and learning Benson; and he will shine.

Even if they start Benson, I think that Jones will win the job before the year is through.

With Grossman backed up by the very hungry Greise, and Muhammad, hearing the rumors swirling around the league, feeling his pride rise up within him (not to mention Berrian and Gage); the offense will be well balanced and potent. 

I've analyzed this back and forth and obviously I'm still high on Jones. I believe that he has seen the error of his move, and the Bears understand why he made it.

They will accept back their errant child, the prodigal son; and with time, Thomas Jones will be paid.

I think he will be fine and will reward me for my confidence in him.

You need to make your own call.

July 18, 2006 in CHICAGO | Permalink | Comments (0)

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